ISER Publication - Win or Lose: Residential Sorting After a School Choice Lottery

ID: 1773

look up Andrew BiblerAndrew Bibler

2018-06-22

Report, 57pp.

We examine residential relocation and opting out of the public school system in response to school choice lottery outcomes. We show that rising kindergarten and sixth graders who lose a school choice lottery are 6 percentage points more likely to exit the district or change neighborhood schools (20-30% increase) and make up 0.14-0.35 standard deviations in average school test scores between lottery assignment and attendance the following year. Using hedonic-based estimates of land prices, we estimate that lottery losers pay a 9-11% housing price premium for access to a school with a one standard deviation higher mean test score.

Suggested Citation:

Bibler, Andrew and Billings, Stephen B., Win or Lose: Residential Sorting After a School Choice Lottery (May 20, 2018). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3193131 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3193131