2034 landcover for Fairbanks with 2024–2033 modeled fire perimeters
In this paper we modified an existing landcover dataset to better identify vegetation associated with wildfire and permafrost in Fairbanks, Anchorage, and Whitehorse over the past 4 decades (1984-2014) and make predictions for the next 4 decades (2024-2054). We used an existing fire model called FlamMap and several statistical analyses to determine where future fires could be possible. Being able to see how the landscape and vegetation change through time allows us to better understand current and future permafrost distributions and wildfire hazards which are essential to developing community plans that reduce risk and increase preparedness for natural hazards.
